Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets in a row (if that must be your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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